People who are pro-life generally believe that abortion is wrong in all or most cases because it involves the willful killing of a human being and that Roe v. Wade, which ruled that obtaining an abortion is the constitutional right of any pregnant woman, is wrong both morally and as a matter of law. Most would agree with Justice Thomas, that nothing in the Constitution was intended to create such a right or did so inadvertently. Therefore, we believe that the decision in Roe v. Wade should be reversed.
In light of the number of lives taken by abortion, we see abortion as one of the greatest evils of our time, and reversing Roe is a high priority. For many, it is the highest priority. A few of us see facts such as the decades-long decline in rates of abortion and the fact that States could still allow abortion even if Roe is reversed as reasons not to make it the single determining factor in how we vote.
It had seemed that with the appointment of Justice Kavanaugh there was a solid “conservative” majority on the Court — Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh — which would reverse Roe when it got the chance. That belief could lead some pro-lifers to decide to base their vote for president on factors other than the appointment of conservative Supreme Court justices. Now CJ Roberts has called that belief into question, if not contradicted it.
In the Louisiana case just decided, June Medical Services, L.L.C. v. Russo, CJ Roberts found a Louisiana law unconstitutional, when only four years ago he thought a similar Texas law was constitutional. He claims that he still believes that the Court was wrong four years ago when it disagreed with him. But now he followed the decision he disagrees with and became the swing vote to strike down theLouisiana law. He did so based on a principle called “stare decisis,” which he describes as follows:
The legal doctrine of stare decisis requires us, absent special circumstances, to treat like cases alike.
It has long been “an established rule to abide by former precedents, where the same points come again in litigation; as well to keep the scale of justice even and steady, and not liable to waver with every new judge’s opinion.”
Stare decisis is not an “inexorable command.” Ramos v. Louisiana, 590 U. S. ___, ___ (2020) (slip op., at 20) (internal quotation marks omitted). But for precedent to mean anything, the doctrine must give way only to a rationale that goes beyond whether the case was decided correctly. The Court accordingly considers additional factors before overruling a precedent, such as its adminstrability, its fit with subsequent factual and legal developments, and the reliance interests that the precedent has engendered. See Janus v. State, County, and Municipal Employees, 585 U. S. ___, ____–____ (2018) (slip op., at 34–35).
Stare decisis principles also determine how we handle a decision that itself departed from the cases that came before it. In those instances, “[r]emaining true to an ‘intrinsically sounder’ doctrine established in prior cases better serves the values of stare decisis than would following” the recent departure. Adarand Constructors, Inc. v. Peña, 515 U. S. 200, 231 (1995) (plurality opinion). Stare decisis is pragmatic and contextual, not “a mechanical formula of adherence to the latest decision.” Helvering v. Hallock, 309 U. S. 106, 119 (1940).
If he feels bound to follow a precedent he thinks is wrong and that is only four years old, how can he overrule a precedent that he thinks is wrong (if he does) and that is 47 years old? There can be grounds for overruling a precedent, as stated in the quotes. But would any of them apply if Roe v. Wade were directly challenged?
Is Roe difficult to administer? There have been numerous cases with respect to laws States have enacted. The question is whether they are the power os States to regulate abortion or whether they place an “undue burden” on women seeking abortion.
Are there new “factual and legal developments?” There are none I can see that call Roe into question.
As for “reliance interests,” certainly people have grown accustomed to having a legal right to an abortion.
Was there an “intrinsically sounder” doctrin established by a previous line of cases? No. This was a new area, not one in which previous decisions were set aside?
Maybe CJ Roberts could find the distinction between the right of women to abort their unborn children and the right of States to legislate standards of safety and to protect viable fetuses is too difficult to administer. But there is certainly no guarantee that he would do so. And apart from that, what he says here suggests that he would feel compelled to uphold the precedent of Roe v. Wade in any case that sought to overturn it.
To me, the decision just shows that you can never be sure how a justice will vote, so voting for a candidate just so he’ll nominate a conservative to the Court is no guarantee of getting the decision you want. And even if Roe is reversed, that won’t end abortion. Trump is so terribly unfit for office that we have to get rid of him; but I still can see how some people could decide in the light of CJ Roberts’ decision that they have to vote for Trump.
The result is that for pro-lifers who believe that overturning Roe v. Wade outweighs all other considerations, voting to reelect Donald Trump becomes an absolute obligation. Before this decision, they could have thought that there was a solid majority already on the Court and based their decision on other issues. But by clearly signaling his unreliability, Chief Justice Roberts has certainly delivered a number of voters to Donald Trump. The question is whether the election will be close enough for their votes to decide the outcome in a State or States which will change the electoral college majority.